Weight loss math is simpler than the internet makes it look. You need two numbers: how many calories your body burns in a day, and how much less than that you plan to eat. Everything else is detail. Here is how to calculate both without a subscription app or a coach.
Start With Your BMR
Your basal metabolic rate is what you burn doing nothing at all, and it accounts for roughly 60 to 70 percent of your daily total. The Mifflin-St Jeor equation is the current standard and runs like this:
Men: (10 x weight in kg) + (6.25 x height in cm) – (5 x age) + 5
Women: (10 x weight in kg) + (6.25 x height in cm) – (5 x age) – 161
A 35 year old woman at 165 pounds and 5’6″ lands near 1,450 calories. A 35 year old man at 190 pounds and 5’11” lands near 1,780. Body composition shifts these numbers, since muscle burns more at rest than fat does, so running a body fat calculator gives you a more accurate starting point than weight alone.

Multiply for Activity
BMR times an activity factor gives you total daily energy expenditure, or TDEE. This is the number that matters.
| Activity Level | Description | Multiplier |
|---|---|---|
| Sedentary | Desk job, no training | 1.2 |
| Light | 1 to 3 days per week | 1.375 |
| Moderate | 3 to 5 days per week | 1.55 |
| Active | 6 to 7 days per week | 1.725 |
Most people overestimate here. Three gym sessions a week plus a desk job is 1.375, not 1.55. Our 165 pound example at moderate activity gets a TDEE around 2,250 calories. For a broader look at what contributes to daily burn, this overview of daily calorie expenditure breaks down where the energy actually goes.
Set a Deficit You Can Live With
Subtract 500 calories per day from your TDEE and you lose roughly one pound per week. Subtract 750 and you lose about a pound and a half. That is the whole strategy.
Do not go lower than 20 to 25 percent below TDEE, and do not drop below 1,200 calories for women or 1,500 for men without medical supervision. Aggressive deficits cost you muscle, energy, and adherence, usually in that order. Our example woman at 2,250 TDEE eats 1,750 and is done thinking about it.
Recalculate every 10 to 15 pounds. A smaller body burns less, so the number that worked at 165 pounds will not work at 145. Tracking carbohydrate quality helps if you are managing hunger, and a net carbs calculator is useful for anyone counting fiber against total intake.

Stop Eating Back Your Exercise Calories
Here is the part that quietly ruins most people’s progress. Fitness trackers and cardio machine displays routinely overstate calorie burn by 20 to 50 percent. That 600 calorie readout after a 45 minute session was probably closer to 400.
Your activity multiplier already accounts for training. Adding those calories back on top counts them twice, which is why plenty of people train hard for eight weeks and see nothing move. Use the machine readout to compare one session against another, not as a food budget. Console metrics on equipment like stair climbers with LCD displays are genuinely useful for tracking effort trends over time. They are just not an invoice you get to spend.
What Training Actually Contributes
The deficit drives fat loss. Training decides how much of that loss comes from muscle versus fat, which is a different job entirely.
Two to three strength sessions per week is the minimum to hold onto lean mass while eating less, and a pair of dumbbells for strength training under 200 dollars covers that requirement in a gym home without a full rack. If you have the floor space, a Sportsroyals power rack with a complete setup handles compound lifts that recruit more total muscle per session.
Cardio adds to the deficit but does not replace it. Interval work on a NordicTrack bike built for HIIT training burns more in less time, though it also demands more recovery, and this guide on recovering after a treadmill HIIT session covers how to space hard days so fatigue does not sabotage your consistency.
One last variable people skip: hydration affects appetite signaling, and mild dehydration reads a lot like hunger. A water intake calculator gives you a daily target worth hitting before you decide you are actually hungry. Run your numbers, hold them for three weeks, then adjust based on the scale rather than how the first four days felt.

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